It’s no shock that a recent McKinsey study showed that workers want more flexibility in their work. (See below for more) What was shocking is that today 58% of people surveyed are now being offered some flexibility in their work—that is 92 million Americans. This is a structural change in how we work, hire, build … Continue reading Accept the Workplace Change–Flexible Work
Arizona Water Update
A few years ago, I sent out a C2 Voice on the Arizona water situation. I thought I would give an update on the status of water rights as we are now experiencing the first cut in Colorado River water in our history. Here are a few points to know: —Only 36% of Arizona water comes from … Continue reading Arizona Water Update
Office vs. Industrial 2022
These are the crazy times in CRE. I have been leasing office space for 38 years and have NEVER seen the discrepancy in Office vs Industrial so great. It’s a tale of two markets for sure. Below, find a list of Office and Industrial buildings under construction as of Q2 2022. The difference between Office … Continue reading Office vs. Industrial 2022
1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Market Update: Q3 2022
The Metro Phoenix Office Market hit a small speedbump in Q3 on the path to recovery. After posting a big net absoption in Q2 of +918,413 SF, Q3 slipped to -81,621 SF. This puts year-to-date net absorption at +532,634 SF, on track to finish well below our 20-year average of 2 million SF. What’s going with … Continue reading 1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Market Update: Q3 2022
Job Market Softening
The world ebbs and flows…the job market is going from being tight to soft. That is a cycle. The young people who have joined the workforce after 2008 have never seen a recession. It looks like one is coming, meaning many of the jobs they took for granted will disappear. A good article from the … Continue reading Job Market Softening
Top 10 Issues Affecting Real Estate
As you may recall, Andrew and I are a long time Counselors of Real Estate (CRE). Annually the Counselors of Real Estate organization has all the members vote and comes up with the most interesting and comprehensive list of Issues in our business. The 2022-2023 Top 10 Issues Affecting Real Estate report came out last … Continue reading Top 10 Issues Affecting Real Estate
Ten on One- California Industrial Market
The Inland Empire of industrial market is MASSIVE. It is estimated that 40% of all distribution to the US comes through the two ports located in Southern California. We spent ten minutes talking Inland Empire with Jeff Huberman, one of the top industrial brokers in California. What did we learn? –These ports are the gateway to … Continue reading Ten on One- California Industrial Market
Phoenix And San Antonio Only Big Cities Growing
New York City lost hundreds of thousands of people last year — around 3.5% of its population gone in one year. In fact ALL cities with populations more than 1 million saw people move out, with the exception of Phoenix and San Antonio. The pandemic saw thousands of people reevaluate their lives and make the … Continue reading Phoenix And San Antonio Only Big Cities Growing
PropTech is Changing Office Space
Office space is changing dramatically right in front of our eyes. In this Narrative, we have talked about work from home, flex time, and how office space is becoming more experiential. Today I want to talk about another area: PropTech. The article below from prommodo is titled: The Coming Tsunami of PropTech. Proptech companies are showing up at … Continue reading PropTech is Changing Office Space
Up to 70% Office Building Obsolescene??!!
Zisler Capital Associates released a report that stated up to 70% of the total office inventory might be obsolete. This is a massive disruption for office building owners. Now, we know that how tenants use their space is changing dramatically post covid and with new, rising technologies (Zoom, Slack, everything in the cloud, etc). We also … Continue reading Up to 70% Office Building Obsolescene??!!
Multi Story Warehouse
I recently wrote about office land sites going to industrial developers here. Below is one additional reason why this trend is happening. This is crazy. Take a look below, but first here are some of my thoughts: –The industrial market is on fire and the country is building out the last mile infrastructure. –Land prices … Continue reading Multi Story Warehouse
Happy Employees
It seems like every year there’s new research regarding office space layouts. There have been tons of studies on office layout and how they can help make employees happier and more productive. Below is a great study that surveyed employees at the end of 2019 to find out what they really think about their office … Continue reading Happy Employees
5 Solutions for Saving Money on Office
The majority of companies are back in the office under some sort of adjusted schedule. While work strategies differ, everyone can agree that build-out costs are painfully expensive. This is especially challenging during the war for talent that’s happening, and businesses need every dollar they can get to enhance the employee office experience. Since the … Continue reading 5 Solutions for Saving Money on Office
Are the Suburbs Back? And other Office Trends from NAIOP
As companies begin to return to the offices which have largely been left empty since the Covid 19 pandemic started, the first trend we are seeing is companies are going to have to transform the spaces into places where workers will want to be. This is an important move since there is now a shift … Continue reading Are the Suburbs Back? And other Office Trends from NAIOP
Last Mile Logistics
Last Mile Logistics is one of the hottest segments in Commercial real estate (multifamily remains smoking hot as well). Building out the ecosystem of companies (not just Amazon) to allow them to deliver products in a day (or even faster) is happening now. As a consumer, this is a fabulous and welcome change. However, the … Continue reading Last Mile Logistics
Second-Tier Cities Thriving
The pandemic has created some new trends (mask wearing, expanded home delivery, ghost restaurants, etc.). That said, there has been even more acceleration of existing trends including last mile logistics, flex work schedules, and the rise of second-tier cities like Phoenix. Second-tier cities are growing like crazy and drawing the notice of institutional investors as well … Continue reading Second-Tier Cities Thriving
Commercial Real Estate in 2022
Lee & Associates corporate just released a nice summary called 7 Things to Know About Commercial Real Estate — a national overview of what you need to know about the market going into 2022. Here are my takeaways: –Industrial is ROCKING. And it will continue in 2022. –Multi Family is ROCKING (and has been for … Continue reading Commercial Real Estate in 2022
2021 Holiday Video–Our Travels this Year (1 minute 57 seconds)
2021 has been a wild and crazy year for everyone. We are proud of the work we did this year especially with the uncertain circumstances in the office market. Our clients have been amazing and we are grateful for each of you who worked with us this year. We spent 2020 locked down in Arizona….NOT … Continue reading 2021 Holiday Video–Our Travels this Year (1 minute 57 seconds)
Technology Changing Parking
Parking is not the most exciting topic, but for office developers and users it’s critical. Technology is changing everything in our lives and parking is no different. Yes, Uber and Lyft have already started the change as people can now get to and from locations without having to worry about parking. And autonomous driving is … Continue reading Technology Changing Parking
Where America’s Developed Areas are Growing?
A few weeks ago I wrote a narrative about rankings, and what I look for in markets where I believe companies will thrive. I posed four questions to ask with the number one question being: Is the market growing? Below is a great article from the Washington Post on where America is growing by new land … Continue reading Where America’s Developed Areas are Growing?
1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Market Update: Q3 2021 and a 30-Second Favor to Ask
We are honored to have been chosen as one of five finalists for Broker of the Decade in Metro Phoenix by CEM Magazine. The winner is determined via vote by the readers. We would greatly appreciate if you could take 30 seconds right now and cast your vote by clicking here (we are third in the … Continue reading 1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Market Update: Q3 2021 and a 30-Second Favor to Ask
All Kind of Rankings
This headline made me laugh: Phoenix was ranked as the least relaxing city in America, according to a recent survey. Factors such as light pollution, green spaces, and coastal proximity all weighed heavily against Phoenix in the survey, which showed the least number of respondents who get 7+ hours of sleep each night. Meanwhile, San Jose, … Continue reading All Kind of Rankings
Indoor Farming
A few years back I wrote a narrative on indoor farming (you can read it here). The technology has grown and grown (pun intended) and now we are seeing some incredible changes. Sananbio, one of the world’s largest indoor farming technology providers, has announced an unmanned vertical farming system. Here’s how it works: –Pour the seeds in … Continue reading Indoor Farming
Arizona Water Scoop
I get asked the question all the time: what is the water situation in Arizona? Most of my out-of-state clients are curious about water, how much we have, are we running out, the desert landscape of Phoenix, water levels, etc. Below is a short primer I put together for my readers that answers all these … Continue reading Arizona Water Scoop
Hybrid Work Messiness
Now the messy part with hybrid work begins. Below is an article outlining the conversations we are having 5 times a day right now with our clients. How do we come back to work and what are the rules, office space layouts and long-term consequences of allowing everyone to partially work from home? Here is … Continue reading Hybrid Work Messiness
Which Cities are America’s new boomtowns? Try Salt Lake City and Indianapolis
Even before the pandemic, jobs in Metro Phoenix were on the rise, drawing large numbers of employees away from bigger cities like San Francisco, LA, and New York, to the area. That trend accelerated during the pandemic, with an influx of new remote workers moving to the city. What is really cool is the diversification … Continue reading Which Cities are America’s new boomtowns? Try Salt Lake City and Indianapolis
The Hottest Office Topic in the Valley
Office subleases continue to prove a hot topic this year. Tenants in the market are eyeing subleases for their great prices, or are using them as leverage to bargain against traditional options. In the Metro Phoenix market, with 100 million SF of office space, we are now showing over 4.5 million SF of sublease now … Continue reading The Hottest Office Topic in the Valley
Reducing Office Space? 74% of Fortune 500 CEO`s Say It`s Likely
You may have noticed that I’ve spent more time than usual passing along information as it pops up. My job is to make sure you and our clients are on the cutting edge of where office space is going and how it is changing. Due to the pandemic, there is a lot of confusing data … Continue reading Reducing Office Space? 74% of Fortune 500 CEO`s Say It`s Likely
1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Market Update: Q2 2021
The Metro Phoenix Office Market remains in disarray at the midpoint of 2021. Companies (small and medium-sized) are coming back to work, signing new leases and getting back to a new normal. Other companies (often large ones) continue to kick the can with short-term renewals, downsizing as leases roll, or trying the sublease market. The … Continue reading 1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Market Update: Q2 2021
Office Still in Disarray
Conflicting views on the future of the office continue to volley back and forth in the media. Below is the NAIOP research division’s latest forecast for office space demand, which they feel will stabilize by the middle of 2022. NAIOP is the largest commercial real estate trade organization in the United States, carrying a relevant … Continue reading Office Still in Disarray
SPT for Scary Times
Over the last year, we have all had to adjust our thinking. Personally, I’ve spent quite a bit of time thinking about how I could better insulate me, my family, my team at Coppola Cheney and my companies from the scary times created by the pandemic. I settled on the below thoughts and created the … Continue reading SPT for Scary Times
CRE International Investors Coming to the US and AZ
Readers of this narrative know that my team and I represent tenants and landlords primarily in the Metro Phoenix area. Every year we see more and more investors coming to us from outside Arizona, and even outside the U.S. Interest in commercial real estate investing is on the rise in the international community, which is … Continue reading CRE International Investors Coming to the US and AZ
Arizona Job Recovery
The United States and Arizona both continue to recover from the pandemic. Below are two graphs from Elliott D. Pollack & Company showing the percent of jobs recovered and jobs left to recover from the pre-pandemic days here in Arizona. –The good news is that jobs are coming back. –However, we still have a ways … Continue reading Arizona Job Recovery
$329,100
The housing market is on FIRE. We are seeing house prices skyrocket across the country, especially here in Metro Phoenix. How hot is it? The median price of a home in the US just hit $329,100. While I’m not in the residential sphere, I’ve been keeping an eye on housing prices and am amazed at … Continue reading $329,100
Commercial Sales Volume in a Pandemic
There’s no doubt that the pandemic has had far-reaching consequences for industries worldwide. In my business, the pandemic created several great markets (residential development and industrial); a sandstorm in our area of office space leasing (no one knows where we are going yet) and has devastated other segments (retail and hospitality). One other segment that was … Continue reading Commercial Sales Volume in a Pandemic
1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Market Update: Q1 2021
The pandemic certainly took its toll on the Metro Phoenix Office Market in Q1. The numbers tell us it was the worst quarter since the Great Recession (2008): Net absorption (new office space taken by job growth) went negative for the third quarter in a row, at -550,000 SF; sublease space increased at the highest … Continue reading 1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Market Update: Q1 2021
Preliminary Relocation Process
One of the first questions we get asked when we are working with a tenant is how long the process will take…..The answer is usually longer than you think. We created the below infographic to show a sample of our step-by-step process, the time it takes to accomplish and decision makers involved. There is a … Continue reading Preliminary Relocation Process
America’s Money Flow
I recently found a great website with some very cool information and graphs on money flow trends and wanted to share it with you. Where has America’s money flowed over the last 5 years? People take their money where they think they will live their best life.Turns out that: –Money is flowing out of California at an … Continue reading America’s Money Flow
Returning to Work
I believe (as does Industrious’ Jamie Hodari below) that companies are going to be moving back into the office eventually for a number of reasons I have discussed in this narrative previously. As we continue to get our heads and arms around the pandemic, we still need to work. Here are a few takeaways from … Continue reading Returning to Work
Countries With the Most Sustainable Energy Policies
I have some global thinking for your narrative today. Lots of thought and energy is going into making the world more sustainable. There are many ways people are working towards sustainability, and below is a graph showing which countries are doing the best job. Here are my thoughts:1—The US is doing a good job (I know, we … Continue reading Countries With the Most Sustainable Energy Policies
Technology Adoption Rates
Today’s graph is messy at first glance. After you read my comments, simply click on the larger version to review in-depth. The colored lines show how fast different technologies have been adapted over time. Here are a few of my thoughts: –In general, we adopt technology pretty rapidly in the US. –Look for the number … Continue reading Technology Adoption Rates
Investing in Commercial Real Estate
These days, it’s easier than ever to get started in investing. There are apps that let you buy and trade stocks while waiting at the gas station. Real estate, especially residential, has always been an accessible investment vehicle. But these days, even commercial real estate is being disrupted and opening up to the masses, with … Continue reading Investing in Commercial Real Estate
Negative Office Absorption in Our Future
We now believe the national office market will likely have negative absorption for 2020 and, depending on how long the pandemic lasts, into 2021. Globe Street has a nice overview in the article below my comments. Here are some of my thoughts on the office sector looking forward into the next year. Why negative absorption … Continue reading Negative Office Absorption in Our Future
The Elephant in the Room
I have written about this before, and the elephant in the room is STILL the amount of debt the federal government is taking on AND the pace. See below for a graph showing this trend. There will be a time to pay the penalty for this excess…but no one is talking about it now. The … Continue reading The Elephant in the Room
REI Headquarters Follow-up
Back in July, I sent out a narrative on one of the coolest buildings I have ever seen being built. The REI headquarters promised to be on-brand and in keeping with their ethos. It blended outdoor and indoor space to create a building that perfectly aligned with the company mission. Well, if you want an … Continue reading REI Headquarters Follow-up
Top 10 Issues Affecting Real Estate
The Counselors of Real Estate (of which Andrew and I are proud members) have released their annual top 10 issues affecting real estate. Please read the whole article below. As you can imagine, COVID-19 is currently leading the way on issues affecting real estate. Big shocker. We have written about the pandemic a ton in previous … Continue reading Top 10 Issues Affecting Real Estate
Real Estate Tax Breaks and Potential Dangers
As an office broker for 35+ years, I have done my share of corporate headquarters relocations and negotiations. If you need office space, I am your man. Part of any negotiation for a sizable relocation can be state and city incentives. The article below from the New York Times talks about companies taking advantage of this … Continue reading Real Estate Tax Breaks and Potential Dangers
Net Population Gains Per Year
Population growth is a key indicator of economic health. So where are the top 10 net population growth areas in the US? See below. –Surprise! Metro Phoenix is #1. This is not really a surprise for those of us who have been following this growth. –The Inland Empire in Southern California is second. This one did … Continue reading Net Population Gains Per Year
What is Your State’s Poor Infrastructure Costing You?
Below is an incredible graph. States have let their infrastructure go to hell and it is costing consumers a ton of money in car damages. Take a look below to see what your state is costing you.I also pulled cities within the Metro Phoenix market to see what individual cities are costing us. 1—Lack of … Continue reading What is Your State’s Poor Infrastructure Costing You?
Most Expensive U.S. Office Submarkets
I messed up. This is a narrative that edits what I sent over earlier this week. Below is the narrative and orange are my edits. Sorry for sending incorrect information. Craig Over the past several years, one of the trends my team has been tracking is the number of California companies that are moving to … Continue reading Most Expensive U.S. Office Submarkets
Working From Home
The trend of being able to work from home is now here for all of us. The COVID-19 quarantine has forced the issue. And according to a detailed study by Nicholas Bloom of Stanford, it’s good business. Bloom did a two-year study on the effectiveness of working from home. Below is a nice summary from a … Continue reading Working From Home
A Decade of Home Building
The last decade (pre-COVID-19) was a lesson in taking the long road. I remember meeting with a couple CEOs of homebuilding companies every year and hearing the same story from 2009-2012: “Last year was bad but this next year is going to be a lot better.” This was the message for four straight years. Multifamily, on … Continue reading A Decade of Home Building
I Got One Right… and I am not happy about it
In 2015, I said this was not a good investment. In 2018, I said, I couldn’t believe this was still going on. In April this year, I reiterated this was going to crash….and it finally has. But that doesn’t mean I’m happy I was right. What was my prediction? WeWork (now We Company) was not … Continue reading I Got One Right… and I am not happy about it
The Shrinking Middle Class
There has been a lot of talk about the middle class getting squeezed and the numbers below bear this out. Take a look at the graphs. What does this mean to the average worker? Rent, medical costs and tuition have increased more than income, shrinking savings. The median hourly wage in the U.S. … Continue reading The Shrinking Middle Class
The National Office Market continues to roll on
I keep telling my team: right now is what the top of the market feels like. In the United States, one out of every seven people moving out of state moves to Arizona. The economy is hot. How long can it continue? Who knows, but NAIOP is forecasting another great year for the rest of … Continue reading The National Office Market continues to roll on
Being A Successful Real Estate Investor
When I wrote How to Win in Commercial Real Estate Investing, I spent all my words on the process of investing. Not the psychology of the business. Below is a great (and short) article on the 4 P’s of being a successful investor. I would recommend that everyone think about these words before they jump … Continue reading Being A Successful Real Estate Investor
Analyzing Business Opportunities
We all know we have to do our homework when analyzing any business opportunity. Doing due diligence from every side and perspective will help protect your interests (and money). Below are some reminders and a priority list for conducting your due diligence to limit your risks and hopefully ensure your ROI: – Financials first, all … Continue reading Analyzing Business Opportunities
Rules for Capital
When writing my LIFEies (my weekly blog on personal development) I get to share very complex ideas that are made simple by lots of people. Like Albert Einstein said, “The definition of genius is taking the complex and making it simple.” For this narrative, however, I focus on more complex Commercial Real Estate developments. But every … Continue reading Rules for Capital
The Highest Taxed Buildings in America
In many ways, I am jaded after being in the CRE brokerage business for so long. Representing office tenants means you get to see just about everything. But I also live in an Arizona bubble most of the time. So I was SHOCKED at the amount of property taxes that the highest-taxed buildings in America … Continue reading The Highest Taxed Buildings in America
Meet Your New Landlord At Home
I have a great friend, Trish, who has been a mentor to me for the past 30 years. She is in the residential ownership and management business, and has been a great insight into the changes happening in that sector. Which is why I’m not surprised by the below article, and the size of the … Continue reading Meet Your New Landlord At Home
1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Update: Q1 2018
The long and stubbornly slow recovery continues. Q1 2018 numbers are out and the Metro Phoenix office market absorbed 686,469 square feet of net positive space, lowering overall vacancy to 19.39%. We are now into the 8th straight year of positive absorption in office jobs. Vacancy varies throughout the Greater Phoenix area with a high of 30.5% in the Sky Harbor … Continue reading 1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Update: Q1 2018
Growing Together
I grew up 20 minutes from the Mexican border. My dad and three of my siblings still live in Sierra Vista, AZ. I know firsthand the good and bad of living next to an international border and all the issues surrounding both sides. Given the recent political turbulence surrounding globalization, NAFTA, and the United … Continue reading Growing Together
Underlying Organizational Costs
The biggest waste we consistently see is clients underutilizing their office space. Planning for growth that never occurs, thinking you “need” the space for visiting people, and making work areas and offices too big — there are multiple ways that companies waste money. Office space, and even more important facilities, can significantly reduce costs through … Continue reading Underlying Organizational Costs
Businesses are Relocating to AZ
t’s always warm in Phoenix. In the summer, we go above 110 degrees on a regular basis. On the other hand, the Phoenix office market continues to move along at a steady pace…like it’s 70 degrees. BUT, all is not lost. Many companies are beginning to realize the true cost of having all their … Continue reading Businesses are Relocating to AZ
10 Issues Affecting Commercial Real Estate 2017
One thing I constantly stress to my team is that to be successful in this industry, you have to be willing to learn and adapt to the times, or quickly become obsolete and watch your business disappear. As a 20+ year Counselor of Real Estate (CRE), I love our annual top ten issues affecting commercial … Continue reading 10 Issues Affecting Commercial Real Estate 2017
1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Update: Q3 2017
The Metro Phoenix office market continued on its eight-year positive course, albeit at a slower pace, for the 3rd quarter of 2017. As any athlete will tell you, a win is a win and all the [market] players will take it. The 216,037 SF of office space absorbed fell short of expectations, however, some large leases were … Continue reading 1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Update: Q3 2017
Spending Trends in America
One of my favorite movie quotes is from Jerry Maguire – “Show me the money!” And that’s exactly what the below chart does. This very informative chart shows spending trends over the past 75 years in America. Some key points for me: — Education spending is trending up. Not sure if this is Americans valuing education … Continue reading Spending Trends in America
2-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Update: Q2 2017
The second quarter was not quite as busy as the first, but there is still good news as our market slowly (painfully slow) continues to improve. Vacancy held steady at 18.8% despite new construction, and we continued our streak of continuous positive net absorption (job growth). We haven’t had negative net absorption since 2009. The pace of … Continue reading 2-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Update: Q2 2017
5 Frequently Asked CRE Questions
estate are simple. A tenant needs office space. An owner needs to lease their space to a tenant. But once you get into the details of the transaction, things become complicated really fast. A good amount of my time working with clients is spent answering their questions. I even wrote 2 books on the subject … Continue reading 5 Frequently Asked CRE Questions
4 in the Top 20!
The good news keeps coming. Metro Phoenix just landed 4 cities in the top 20 best US cities for finding a job in 2017. Arizona is open for business. If you are looking to relocate, or know someone who is, there is no better area than the Valley of the Sun. Here are a … Continue reading 4 in the Top 20!
Demonetized Cost of Living
Everyone talks about the negatives that happen in our lives. But some of the most incredible transformations are going on right in front of our eyes as well. A few months ago, I shared with you Dr. Peter Diamandis’ email about how the world is getting better (Click here to read that post). Today’s topic also comes from Diamandis, and … Continue reading Demonetized Cost of Living
CRE Crowdfunding
Crowdfunding Commercial Real Estate acquisitions is all the rage. However, like everything, there are opportunities and liabilities in placing your investment dollars in a crowdfunded deal. Below are two different articles with highlights. But first, a quick summary: Liabilities: Investors lack the industry knowledge and experience needed for real estate investments Too many uncommitted investors High legal fees … Continue reading CRE Crowdfunding
Suburban Office Markets
The current recovery has been anemic, not just economically but in terms of new office construction as well. Long term, the lack of new buildings is good as overbuilding is not a concern. With the emergence of millennials in the work force and live/work/play environments, suburban office markets have been even slower to recover. As the Central Business District … Continue reading Suburban Office Markets
Metro Phoenix is Getting Better…Slowly
Steady net absorption (more space being leased due to job growth) continues to chip away at Metro Phoenix’s office vacancy as we head into Q4 2016. This quarter, Phoenix benefitted from medium-sized companies expanding. We hope these companies continue to grow. The metro Phoenix office market is on pace to perform roughly the same as 2015, i.e. … Continue reading Metro Phoenix is Getting Better…Slowly
Finally AZ is Growing Again!
Arizona is growing again. Of all the states boasting job growth, we are at the top. We have been doing it with regional headquarters relocations, internal growth, and a robust tech market. I give a lot of credit for this growth to our pro-business Governor Doug Ducey. This narrative is decidedly not political, but our growth … Continue reading Finally AZ is Growing Again!
Stalking Millennials and CRE
It seems like I am stalking all Millennials these days. Readers know why. They are changing the way we do business. Below is an article on how they are changing Commercial Real Estate. Here are a few takeaways for me: Smartphones are here and they are being used for EVERYTHING. All our websites, media, packages, flyers etc. need … Continue reading Stalking Millennials and CRE
How Much You Need to Make to Buy a Home
While we specialize in leasing commercial office space, we watch the housing market very closely. Housing is a precursor to office space growth. Regular readers know this housing market recovery has been slow and multifamily has been on fire for the past 5-6 years. While there are lots of reasons for this, affordability may be one of them. The below … Continue reading How Much You Need to Make to Buy a Home
Understanding The Office Market: Q1 2016 Phoenix Office Report
Office leasing is off to a good start in 2016. Here in Metro Phoenix, the market saw 641,000 square feet (SF) of net absorption (office jobs added) recorded in the first quarter. This means Metro Phoenix is on track to absorb approximately 2.5 million SF for the year. That would mean another year of consistent, average … Continue reading Understanding The Office Market: Q1 2016 Phoenix Office Report
Game Changing Trend is Happening Right Now
Each January, I attend Abundance 360 produced by Peter Diamandis. One takeaway this year was how fast driverless cars are becoming a reality. This will happen in our lifetime. Google autonomous cars have over 1,000,000 miles in Palo Alto (click here). Tesla has a new package that will drive your car on the highway (click here) and there are at least … Continue reading Game Changing Trend is Happening Right Now
Wrap Your Head Around These Companies vs. Other Countries
Most of the time we hear how important China is becoming; how the reemergence of Russia is going to affect the US; and of course all the dramatic stories of the meltdowns of Greece and now Puerto Rico. I always try to wrap my head around how these developments will play out in my backyard … Continue reading Wrap Your Head Around These Companies vs. Other Countries
Snapshot of Arizona Economy
Below is a great snapshot of Arizona and where we are with our economy. In addition, I’ve added a couple extra tidbits that are not in the below infographic: –Arizona still lags in job creation. We are not quite back to 100 percent of our jobs lost (even though we have regained 314,000). This is the first … Continue reading Snapshot of Arizona Economy
Employment Growth – Employer Payroll Survey vs. Household Survey
My favorite economist who tracks the national economy and the US office market is Peter Linneman. He produced the graph below which shows job loss and gain during the recession. This graph demonstrates exactly why I follow the jobs market so closely and why most office markets in the US have been slow to recover. Surprisingly, there are just a few … Continue reading Employment Growth – Employer Payroll Survey vs. Household Survey
Spheres of Influence
Every now and then I see cool graphs that grab my attention. Site Selection magazine ran the below graphs showing the top industries and the top projects of the year (2013). I found the following insights: –Where companies are headquartered and the size of each company are very interesting. There is some clustering, but not always. –Transportation is driving the … Continue reading Spheres of Influence
7 Bold Commercial Real Estate Predictions
In my weekly narrative, I spend quite a bit of time thinking, talking, and looking at the future. Below are seven bold predictions by some of the leading thinkers in our industry. Here a few key predictions that stand out: –Malls will soon be extinct –Technology will run buildings (we see that coming today) –Green buildings will become the norm … Continue reading 7 Bold Commercial Real Estate Predictions
5 Measures of Arizona’s Economy As Fall Season Arrives
The local paper in Phoenix, The Arizona Republic, published a great summary about the Arizona economy and my favorite topic—Jobs. Please take a look below for the full article, but here are a few highlights: –We are still at 60% of jobs recovered from pre-recession numbers. –Construction, typically our get-out-of-the-slump card, is severely lagging. –One bright spot … Continue reading 5 Measures of Arizona’s Economy As Fall Season Arrives
Phoenix Housing Double Dip Recession?
No recovery is smooth. There are fits and starts. There are blue skies and cloudy. The Phoenix housing market, which in past years has driven the office market, has cooled off and is pulling back. Nobody thinks this will be a full recession, but there are clear signs that all is not peachy in Phoenix. I believe this to be true … Continue reading Phoenix Housing Double Dip Recession?
Highlights from Arizona State University’s Annual Economic Outlook
Over the last two weeks, I have talked about the numbers behind the job numbers in the US and Arizona. Of course, there are people much more qualified and articulate who actually track this kind of data for a living. Arizona State University’s annual Economic Outlook produced some quality information that I thought I would … Continue reading Highlights from Arizona State University’s Annual Economic Outlook
Comparing the U.S. and Phoenix Economies
Last week I discussed the labor market and what is happening in Arizona with job gains and the office market. This week I have pulled some information from the Brookings Institute on our economy and the recovery compared to the rest of the US. Here are some of my takeaways: –Phoenix will remain one of … Continue reading Comparing the U.S. and Phoenix Economies
A Look at the Numbers Behind the Current Headlines About Job Creation
Job creation news made headlines a few weeks back touting that the United States had recovered all of the jobs that were lost during the great recession. In Arizona, however, we are still way behind our pre-recession levels. Over the next two weeks, we are going to try to tie jobs, the Phoenix office market, … Continue reading A Look at the Numbers Behind the Current Headlines About Job Creation