No matter what sector of real estate you focus on, E-Commerce affects us all. Its disruption of the commercial real estate world has accelerated exponentially due to COVID-19’s effects on our shopping behavior. This disruption is forcing property owners, especially industrial and retail, to re-think how they “maximize” the sites they own. It’s also spilling … Continue reading Development Strategies for Maximizing E-Commerce Demand
The evolution of hybrid work continues as companies move on from the pandemic. While work from home (WFH) satisfies many, the allure of work from anywhere (WFA) may seem like a dream scenario. The article below from The Economist takes a closer look at the realities of completely untethered work. It’s important for employers and Landlords to understand … Continue reading Will Work from Anywhere Work?
For all of you holding out, it is time to accept Work-From-Home as mainstream. We think some version of this is here to stay, and while it may have peaked during the pandemic (check out my narrative on how a recession will impact WFH), it is something that all executives will have to take into … Continue reading Work-From-Home Explained
As you might recall, I am a long time Counselor of Real Estate (CRE). This organization puts out some of the most thought-provoking discussions about Commercial Real Estate. The below article is no exception, and is a great summary of the worker shortage, why we have one and what we see going forward. Here are … Continue reading Where Are the Workers?
The world ebbs and flows…the job market is going from being tight to soft. That is a cycle. The young people who have joined the workforce after 2008 have never seen a recession. It looks like one is coming, meaning many of the jobs they took for granted will disappear. A good article from the … Continue reading Job Market Softening
As you may recall, Andrew and I are a long time Counselors of Real Estate (CRE). Annually the Counselors of Real Estate organization has all the members vote and comes up with the most interesting and comprehensive list of Issues in our business. The 2022-2023 Top 10 Issues Affecting Real Estate report came out last … Continue reading Top 10 Issues Affecting Real Estate
The Inland Empire of industrial market is MASSIVE. It is estimated that 40% of all distribution to the US comes through the two ports located in Southern California. We spent ten minutes talking Inland Empire with Jeff Huberman, one of the top industrial brokers in California. What did we learn? –These ports are the gateway to … Continue reading Ten on One- California Industrial Market
New York City lost hundreds of thousands of people last year — around 3.5% of its population gone in one year. In fact ALL cities with populations more than 1 million saw people move out, with the exception of Phoenix and San Antonio. The pandemic saw thousands of people reevaluate their lives and make the … Continue reading Phoenix And San Antonio Only Big Cities Growing
Everyone is talking about the looming recession. While I personally think it’s likely to hit in 2023, no one seems to be talking about how it could bring people back to the office. The article below discusses the reasons why a recession will lead to remote workers heading back into the office. Layoffs are coming (actually, they’re already here), and unemployment … Continue reading Weakening the Work-From-Home Revolution
Want to understand how employees really feel about the hybrid workplace? Microsoft has put out a fantastic report called the 2022 Work Trend Index Annual Report. An independent research firm conducted a survey with over 31,000 full-time and part-time works across 31 worldwide markets. This report also used valuable data from LinkedIn and Microsoft 365. Here are … Continue reading The Latest Insights and Stats on Hybrid Office Work
Office space is changing dramatically right in front of our eyes. In this Narrative, we have talked about work from home, flex time, and how office space is becoming more experiential. Today I want to talk about another area: PropTech. The article below from prommodo is titled: The Coming Tsunami of PropTech. Proptech companies are showing up at … Continue reading PropTech is Changing Office Space
We’re excited to bring you something brand new today. The first episode of our new video podcast, “Ten on One.” This new video format will feature a ten-minute podcast on one timely topic at a time. We promise to deliver: — Relevant, timely information — No BS — A summary of key takeaways Trust us, it will … Continue reading Ten on One: Post Covid Design Changes
Zisler Capital Associates released a report that stated up to 70% of the total office inventory might be obsolete. This is a massive disruption for office building owners. Now, we know that how tenants use their space is changing dramatically post covid and with new, rising technologies (Zoom, Slack, everything in the cloud, etc). We also … Continue reading Up to 70% Office Building Obsolescene??!!
In 2010, psychologists Alex Haslam and Craig Knight did some experimenting with office space layouts (read the full article below for some fascinating history and thoughts). Here’s what they found: –Employees want to make their space their own. –When they get that opportunity, they do more and better work. Over a decade later and employees … Continue reading Office Space that Works
I recently wrote about office land sites going to industrial developers here. Below is one additional reason why this trend is happening. This is crazy. Take a look below, but first here are some of my thoughts: –The industrial market is on fire and the country is building out the last mile infrastructure. –Land prices … Continue reading Multi Story Warehouse
I’ve said it before and it continues to be true: Companies are moving out of California in record numbers. This migration is happening for a myriad of reasons. –rising business costs (taxes, energy, utility costs, etc.) –worker comp litigation and cost issues –cost of talent –cost of simply living The list goes on. Below is … Continue reading CA Companies Moving Out
It seems like every year there’s new research regarding office space layouts. There have been tons of studies on office layout and how they can help make employees happier and more productive. Below is a great study that surveyed employees at the end of 2019 to find out what they really think about their office … Continue reading Happy Employees
One huge area of change over the past decade is the amount of amenities tenants want and are now demanding. The competition for tenants remains fierce so landlords are providing more of amenities in their office buildings. The race to provide amenities got so heated over the last few years, we actually created an Amenity … Continue reading Building Amenity Checklist
The office is evolving, not dying! Check out this insightful article put out by NAIOP Development Magazine. Going into the office must no longer be a thorn in the employee’s daily routine. It needs to be exciting. It needs to be inviting. And it needs to promote wellness. The author of the article, Trey Barrineau, … Continue reading Future Of Office
Have you figured out how your office will look in 2022 and beyond? Below is cool, quick article from Fast Company illustrating some of the changes happening in the office. Yes, they do mention some pretty big tech names, and we don’t all have the same construction budgets as Salesforce, but there are some great ideas … Continue reading Back to the Office, Differently
The pandemic has created some new trends (mask wearing, expanded home delivery, ghost restaurants, etc.). That said, there has been even more acceleration of existing trends including last mile logistics, flex work schedules, and the rise of second-tier cities like Phoenix. Second-tier cities are growing like crazy and drawing the notice of institutional investors as well … Continue reading Second-Tier Cities Thriving
Lee & Associates corporate just released a nice summary called 7 Things to Know About Commercial Real Estate — a national overview of what you need to know about the market going into 2022. Here are my takeaways: –Industrial is ROCKING. And it will continue in 2022. –Multi Family is ROCKING (and has been for … Continue reading Commercial Real Estate in 2022
2021 has been a wild and crazy year for everyone. We are proud of the work we did this year especially with the uncertain circumstances in the office market. Our clients have been amazing and we are grateful for each of you who worked with us this year. We spent 2020 locked down in Arizona….NOT … Continue reading 2021 Holiday Video–Our Travels this Year (1 minute 57 seconds)
A few weeks ago I wrote a narrative about rankings, and what I look for in markets where I believe companies will thrive. I posed four questions to ask with the number one question being: Is the market growing? Below is a great article from the Washington Post on where America is growing by new land … Continue reading Where America’s Developed Areas are Growing?
Business owners come to us and ask for our guidance and expertise on all things office space. One area that comes up all the time is the decision to lease or buy a building. We received this question so often, we created the below graphic to begin the conversation. While this is a great start, the … Continue reading Lease vs. Own
We are honored to have been chosen as one of five finalists for Broker of the Decade in Metro Phoenix by CEM Magazine. The winner is determined via vote by the readers. We would greatly appreciate if you could take 30 seconds right now and cast your vote by clicking here (we are third in the … Continue reading 1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Market Update: Q3 2021 and a 30-Second Favor to Ask
This headline made me laugh: Phoenix was ranked as the least relaxing city in America, according to a recent survey. Factors such as light pollution, green spaces, and coastal proximity all weighed heavily against Phoenix in the survey, which showed the least number of respondents who get 7+ hours of sleep each night. Meanwhile, San Jose, … Continue reading All Kind of Rankings
A few years back I wrote a narrative on indoor farming (you can read it here). The technology has grown and grown (pun intended) and now we are seeing some incredible changes. Sananbio, one of the world’s largest indoor farming technology providers, has announced an unmanned vertical farming system. Here’s how it works: –Pour the seeds in … Continue reading Indoor Farming
Now the messy part with hybrid work begins. Below is an article outlining the conversations we are having 5 times a day right now with our clients. How do we come back to work and what are the rules, office space layouts and long-term consequences of allowing everyone to partially work from home? Here is … Continue reading Hybrid Work Messiness
Even before the pandemic, jobs in Metro Phoenix were on the rise, drawing large numbers of employees away from bigger cities like San Francisco, LA, and New York, to the area. That trend accelerated during the pandemic, with an influx of new remote workers moving to the city. What is really cool is the diversification … Continue reading Which Cities are America’s new boomtowns? Try Salt Lake City and Indianapolis
I recently read a fantastic article from the Wall Street Journal on some of the greater effects of remote work. Being an office broker, I of course am focused daily on the office sector, but this article explores much more as this trend spreads throughout urban geography across the US. Some of my thoughts are below: The … Continue reading Zoom Towns
Office subleases continue to prove a hot topic this year. Tenants in the market are eyeing subleases for their great prices, or are using them as leverage to bargain against traditional options. In the Metro Phoenix market, with 100 million SF of office space, we are now showing over 4.5 million SF of sublease now … Continue reading The Hottest Office Topic in the Valley
You may have noticed that I’ve spent more time than usual passing along information as it pops up. My job is to make sure you and our clients are on the cutting edge of where office space is going and how it is changing. Due to the pandemic, there is a lot of confusing data … Continue reading Reducing Office Space? 74% of Fortune 500 CEO`s Say It`s Likely
This narrative has been talking about changes in office space design, layout, and work flow for the last year. During COIVD-19, I decided to put together a summary presentation of the 10 changes office space users are making as we come out of the pandemic. I have given this presentation live (well, over Zoom) over … Continue reading COVID 19 Office Space Changes
The Metro Phoenix Office Market remains in disarray at the midpoint of 2021. Companies (small and medium-sized) are coming back to work, signing new leases and getting back to a new normal. Other companies (often large ones) continue to kick the can with short-term renewals, downsizing as leases roll, or trying the sublease market. The … Continue reading 1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Market Update: Q2 2021
I found the below article a nice start to a conversation all of our clients will have over the next year or two. Who will go remote and why should we still have office space? First, as you will recall from last week’s narrative, as few as 34% of jobs can even be considered remote. … Continue reading Office Space to Compete with Remote Working
Conflicting views on the future of the office continue to volley back and forth in the media. Below is the NAIOP research division’s latest forecast for office space demand, which they feel will stabilize by the middle of 2022. NAIOP is the largest commercial real estate trade organization in the United States, carrying a relevant … Continue reading Office Still in Disarray
Over the last year, we have all had to adjust our thinking. Personally, I’ve spent quite a bit of time thinking about how I could better insulate me, my family, my team at Coppola Cheney and my companies from the scary times created by the pandemic. I settled on the below thoughts and created the … Continue reading SPT for Scary Times
Readers of this narrative know that my team and I represent tenants and landlords primarily in the Metro Phoenix area. Every year we see more and more investors coming to us from outside Arizona, and even outside the U.S. Interest in commercial real estate investing is on the rise in the international community, which is … Continue reading CRE International Investors Coming to the US and AZ
“Messy” is right. Below is an article outlining the conversations we are having 5 times a day right now with our clients. How do we come back to work and what are the rules, office space layouts, and long-term consequences of allowing everyone to partially work from home? Here is what we are telling our clients: … Continue reading Hybrid Works Get Messy
The United States and Arizona both continue to recover from the pandemic. Below are two graphs from Elliott D. Pollack & Company showing the percent of jobs recovered and jobs left to recover from the pre-pandemic days here in Arizona. –The good news is that jobs are coming back. –However, we still have a ways … Continue reading Arizona Job Recovery
Over the past year, I have been asked the same question over and over: What will happen to office space users? Will they all just work from home from now on? Will offices ever come back? 2020 showed us that many office jobs can be performed at home, and though I’ve written before about some of the drawbacks of being … Continue reading Jobs That Can Be Done Remotely?
There’s no doubt that the pandemic has had far-reaching consequences for industries worldwide. In my business, the pandemic created several great markets (residential development and industrial); a sandstorm in our area of office space leasing (no one knows where we are going yet) and has devastated other segments (retail and hospitality). One other segment that was … Continue reading Commercial Sales Volume in a Pandemic
I am still closely watching the work-from-home (WFH) trend that began a long time ago but really accelerated last year when the Covid pandemic first hit. Many businesses are now returning to the office, with optional WFH schedules or reimagined spaces. Every business is handling the return to their office differently, and some have found … Continue reading Who is Going Back to the Office?
The pandemic certainly took its toll on the Metro Phoenix Office Market in Q1. The numbers tell us it was the worst quarter since the Great Recession (2008): Net absorption (new office space taken by job growth) went negative for the third quarter in a row, at -550,000 SF; sublease space increased at the highest … Continue reading 1-Minute Phoenix Metro Office Market Update: Q1 2021
Below is an older article (9/2016), that discusses the evolution of office space. Why am I sending this now, right after the economy shut down and the COVID-19 pandemic? Because the points made below can and will show you a couple of key topics that are still relevant when discussing commercial office design and investment: … Continue reading The Evolution of Office Space Utilization in the U.S.
The Wall Street Journal article below is a very good summary of what we are hearing a ton these days: How can I make my office more dynamic and experiential? As we go back to our offices, simply returning to the old, pre-COVID layout with the same furniture and work methods, is not going to cut it when it comes to competing for new … Continue reading Your Workplace is Changing
It seems like forever ago that the entire work force was sent home from their offices to hunker down and try to be productive while waiting out the pandemic. While telecommuting is not a new word, companies have always considered it an experiment and been very slow to embrace it. For years, telecommuting or working … Continue reading What Will Replace the Desk?
I recently found a great website with some very cool information and graphs on money flow trends and wanted to share it with you. Where has America’s money flowed over the last 5 years? People take their money where they think they will live their best life.Turns out that: –Money is flowing out of California at an … Continue reading America’s Money Flow
I believe (as does Industrious’ Jamie Hodari below) that companies are going to be moving back into the office eventually for a number of reasons I have discussed in this narrative previously. As we continue to get our heads and arms around the pandemic, we still need to work. Here are a few takeaways from … Continue reading Returning to Work
We now believe the national office market will likely have negative absorption for 2020 and, depending on how long the pandemic lasts, into 2021. Globe Street has a nice overview in the article below my comments. Here are some of my thoughts on the office sector looking forward into the next year. Why negative absorption … Continue reading Negative Office Absorption in Our Future
We are spending a fair amount of time in this narrative looking at the issues of office space in a post-COVID-19 world. As I write this, we are still in a COVID-19 “sandstorm” without any real clear direction. However, we can look at the various options that are being thrown out as alternatives. One of … Continue reading The Counter Argument to WFH
The C.D.C. sent out some “suggested” changes for office space users as we head back into the office. I wanted to take these suggestions and roll them into what we are seeing our clients do on a practical basis. Additionally, the Wall Street Journal has a nice article on what we know about getting infected. … Continue reading C.D.C. Recommends Changes to Office Space
Over the past few months of quarantine, the most asked question my team and I have received has been, “Will there even be a need for office space in the future?” Short answer: Yes. Below is a great article from the Wall Street Journal that summarizes some of the critical issues facing companies as we … Continue reading Remote Work Isn’t So Great After All
I know, we have been sending quite a bit of contradictory information about office space post-pandemic. The situation is extremely fluid and changing rapidly. Below is an article from National Geographic on this very topic. The CDC is also sending out new office guidelines (here is another article from the NYT). IF, and this … Continue reading Goodbye to open office spaces?
The trend of being able to work from home is now here for all of us. The COVID-19 quarantine has forced the issue. And according to a detailed study by Nicholas Bloom of Stanford, it’s good business. Bloom did a two-year study on the effectiveness of working from home. Below is a nice summary from a … Continue reading Working From Home
When you get a survey result with 50% results, you pay attention. When you see 99% you better stop and make a change. Below is a 2019 report by Buffer on the State of Remote Work. The most important takeaway is that EVERYONE wants to spend some time working remotely — and by everyone, I mean 99%. … Continue reading EVERYONE Wants Time to Work Remotely